HOW IT WORKS

The Esports King turns recent match results into clear, honest numbers: a projection for every player prop, a side of the line we lean, and a win probability for every match — across seven titles: League of Legends, CS2, Dota 2, Valorant, Rainbow Six, Call of Duty and Apex Legends.

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Player projections

For each posted prop we project what a player is likely to put up — kills, headshots and more — based on how they've actually been performing.

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Over / under leans

We compare our projection to the line and lean to whichever side our number favors, with a confidence score for how decisive that lean is.

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Match win odds

For every match we estimate each team's chance to win and turn it into fair odds — a clean baseline to compare against the board.

How to read a prop card

Every prop on the scanner and cheatsheet shows the same handful of fields. Here's what each one means:

Line
The number posted for that player's stat. You're picking whether the real total lands over or under it.
Projection
Our expected total for that stat — the number we think is most likely.
Lean
▲ Over or ▼ Under — the side of the line our projection favors.
Confidence
How decisively our number sits on that side, from 0 to 100. Higher means we're more sure about the direction — not that it's a lock.
Why there is no Edge column
There used to be one. Our own settled ledger holds 1,901 graded esports picks: 876-733-292, a 54.44% strike rate against the 57.74% a two-pick PrizePicks power play has to clear, with a date-clustered confidence interval of [-7.79,+0.64] points over 15 dates — the upper end rules out anything bigger than about +0.6pp. None of those picks carries a closing price, so there is no line-value test either. We removed the number instead of shrinking it further. Higher confidence still means the projection sits further from the line, but always read it next to recent form.
Thin data
A flag meaning we don't yet have enough recent matches for that player or team, so the number is shown for information only — not as a confident play.
Recent
A mini bar chart of the player's last few results. Bars at or above the line are highlighted so you can eyeball the trend.

Why we no longer tag anything a "play"

This is the part most sites hide. A projection is only as good as the history behind it — and as good as its record. Ours does not clear the bar a two-pick entry needs, so nothing here is tagged as a play any more. What is left is the projection, the lean, how decisive it is, and the player's real recent form.

When a player's recent history is thin — a roster move, a new season, a stand-in — we don't pretend. Those leans are marked Thin data: the projection is still there to research, but the sample behind it is too small to read anything into. Right now many props carry that flag, and on plenty of days there are few or zero confident plays. That's by design. We'd rather show you an honest "not enough to call" than manufacture picks.

Our track record is forward-only

We don't post screenshots of old winners or back-filled win rates. Every lean is logged the moment it's made and graded against the real result once the match finishes. You can watch the record build in real time on the page — and until enough picks settle, it honestly says so.

A few honest reminders

Lines move, and no model beats the closing number every time. These numbers are a research starting point to help you think, not a guarantee of anything. This site is for entertainment and informational purposes only.

21+. Please play responsibly. If gambling stops being fun, it's time to stop. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Open the props scanner → See the match board